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The Daily Drip
Monday August 18, 2025
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THE DAILY DRIP
>>> PATTERN RECOGNITION: ACTIVE
MONDAY CORRECTION UNDERWAY // BROAD MARKET SELLOFF WITH BTC -1.13% ETH -3.67% // JAPAN'S METAPLANET BUYS 775 BTC AT $120K PREMIUM
| 1 | INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION: Japan's Metaplanet acquires 775 BTC for $93M at $120,006 per coin - now holds 18,888 BTC worth $2.2B |
| 2 | TECHNICAL BREAKDOWN: BTC loses $118K support with $91M liquidations - RSI at 47.2 signals bearish momentum shift |
| 3 | BROAD CORRECTION: DOGE leads losses at -6.04%, ADA -5.47%, SOL -4.95% as risk-off sentiment dominates Monday trading |
TRANSLATION: MONDAY PULLBACK MEETS INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION
UNCOMFORTABLE TRUTH: SMART MONEY BUYING THE DIP
While retail traders panic at Monday's sea of red, Japan's Metaplanet just dropped $93M on Bitcoin at ABOVE market price ($120,006 vs $116,478 spot). When institutions pay premiums during corrections, it signals conviction. The $91M in liquidations represents overleveraged retail getting flushed while smart money accumulates. Fear & Greed at 56 (neutral) suggests we're not at extremes yet. Watch for support at $115,800 BTC.
| ASSET | PRICE | 24H% | 7D% | YTD% | CAP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $116,479 | -1.13% | -2.75% | +24.67% | $2.32T |
| ETH | $4,348 | -3.67% | +1.33% | +30.48% | $525B |
| XRP | $3.03 | -2.61% | -4.88% | +45.68% | $180B |
| USDT | $1.00 | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.05% | $167B |
| BNB | $841.90 | -1.48% | +4.32% | +20.10% | $117B |
| SOL | $183.66 | -4.95% | +2.84% | -2.96% | $99B |
| DOGE | $0.22 | -6.04% | -3.00% | -29.38% | $34B |
| ADA | $0.92 | -5.47% | +15.87% | +9.25% | $33B |
| TRX | $0.35 | -1.21% | +1.22% | +39.64% | $33B |
| HYPE | $44.32 | -4.68% | +0.07% | +24.19% | $15B |
METAPLANET'S $93M BITCOIN BET
Japan's "MicroStrategy" bought 775 BTC at $120,006 average—ABOVE current market price. Total holdings: 18,888 BTC worth $2.2B.
Q2 RESULTS: Profit surged to $75.1M from $33.7M loss YoY. Revenue up 41% QoQ to $8.4M.
SIGNAL: Smart institutional money buying aggressively while retail panics at red candles
LIQUIDATION CASCADE
24H LIQUIDATIONS: $91M (+3,323% spike)
BTC RSI: 47.2 (Approaching oversold)
KEY SUPPORT: $115,800 BTC must hold
RESISTANCE: $118,000 needs to flip
BTC 59.1% | ETH 13.3% | OTHERS 27.6% |
CORRECTION CREATES OPPORTUNITY
Monday's broad market selloff shows typical correction patterns. BTC testing $115,800 support amid $91M liquidations indicates overleveraged positions unwinding. However, Japan's Metaplanet buying 775 BTC at premium prices ($120,006 vs $116,478 spot) signals institutional conviction.
Fear & Greed at 56 (neutral) with Altcoin Index at 41 suggests selective rotation rather than panic. RSI at 47.2 approaching oversold. Watch for bounce at $115,800 BTC support.
KEY INSIGHT: Smart money accumulates during retail capitulation
- Japan Crypto Framework: Metaplanet's $2.2B BTC holdings operate within progressive regulations
- Market Manipulation: $91M liquidation spike draws regulatory attention to leverage limits
- Institutional Custody: Japanese firms establishing new standards for billion-dollar holdings
TUESDAY RECOVERY POTENTIAL
BTC must defend $115,800 to avoid cascade liquidations. Watch for Asian session response to Metaplanet's premium purchase. If $118K resistance flips to support, expect relief rally toward $120K. ETH needs $4,400 for bullish continuation.
THE PLAY: Position for bounce if support holds
ELEVATED CORRECTION RISK
$91M in 24h liquidations (+3,323% spike) indicates forced selling. RSI at 47.2 approaching oversold. Key risk: BTC losing $115,800 could trigger cascade to $113,500.
RISK LEVEL: MEDIUM-HIGH for leverage, MEDIUM for spot
- MON 8/18: Monday correction testing $115,800 BTC support
- TUE 8/19: Asian markets react to Metaplanet purchase
- WED 8/20: Mid-week recovery potential if support holds
- THU 8/21: Weekly options expiry - volatility expected
- FRI 8/22: ETF flows data reveals institutional positioning
WHILE OTHERS PANIC AT RED
H2cryptO TRACKED INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION, CALLED KEY SUPPORT LEVELS, AND IDENTIFIED OVERSOLD CONDITIONS
Built for traders who see opportunity in fear
MASTER THE MARKETSDISCLAIMER:
This newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. H2cryptO does not recommend that any cryptocurrency should be bought, sold, or held by you. Do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and risky. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.