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The Daily Drip
Thursday, November 27, 2025
Crash Expert: “This Looks Like 1929” → 70,000 Hedging Here
Mark Spitznagel, who made $1B in a single day during the 2015 flash crash, warns markets are mimicking 1929. Yeah, just another oracle spouting gloom and doom, right?
Vanguard and Goldman Sachs forecast just 5% and 3% annual S&P returns respectively for the next decade (2024-2034).
Bonds? Not much better.
Enough warning signals—what’s something investors can actually do to diversify this week?
Almost no one knows this, but postwar and contemporary art appreciated 11.2% annually with near-zero correlation to equities from 1995–2024, according to Masterworks Data.
And sure… billionaires like Bezos and Gates can make headlines at auction, but what about the rest of us?
Masterworks makes it possible to invest in legendary artworks by Banksy, Basquiat, Picasso, and more – without spending millions.
23 exits. Net annualized returns like 17.6%, 17.8%, and 21.5%. $1.2 billion invested.
Shares in new offerings can sell quickly but…
*Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Important Reg A disclosures: masterworks.com/cd.
The Daily Drip
📰 Crypto Market Summary
- Bitcoin leads cautious rebound: Bitcoin is holding in the $91K–$92K zone after bouncing from last week’s ~$80K low as markets price roughly an 80–85% chance of a December Fed cut and talk up the odds of a more dovish Fed chair under President Trump. A softer dollar, improving equity sentiment and holiday‑thinned volumes are all helping BTC trade higher alongside global risk assets.
- On‑chain signals point toward a possible bottom: Glassnode and CryptoQuant metrics highlighted by market reports show whales and multiple holder cohorts flipping from net selling to accumulation around the $80K–$82K ETF cost basis, while the Hash Ribbon “miner capitulation” indicator has now fired, a pattern that has often aligned with cyclical lows. At the same time, realized losses, higher exchange deposits from large holders and only moderate ETF inflows suggest the move through $90K could fade if demand doesn’t deepen and may encounter resistance in the mid‑$90Ks.
- Ether lags but joins macro‑driven bounce: Ethereum trades just under $3,020, fractionally down on the day but higher over the past 24 hours in step with BTC and the tech‑led equity rebound. Derivatives data show rising leveraged activity in ETH even as spot flows stay cautious, leaving the asset more sensitive if the broader risk rally stalls.
- XRP ETFs unlock new institutional demand: XRP hovers around $2.20 after a sharp V‑shaped recovery as Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ and Grayscale’s GXRP debut on NYSE Arca, pulling in about $160M on their first trading day and pushing total XRP ETF assets above $600M. Shrinking exchange reserves and breakout technicals above prior resistance add fuel to the ETF narrative if inflows continue.
- Solana and altcoins rise with higher beta: Solana trades near $142, slightly softer intraday but up roughly 4% over the past day, reflecting its higher beta to BTC’s rebound. Market overviews note that altcoins such as AVAX and DASH have outperformed on leveraged futures flows, but with RSI readings near overbought, many traders are still hesitant to rotate aggressively away from BTC.
- Macro backdrop supports risk assets: Global equities are enjoying their strongest multi‑day run since May while the dollar index dips toward the high‑90s, as futures markets assign a strong probability to a December Fed cut. Gold trades near $4,150–$4,160/oz after a powerful YTD rally, and copper remains roughly 25% above year‑ago levels, underscoring how expectations of easier policy are lifting both crypto and traditional macro assets.
📊 Sentiment Dashboard
🔢 Market Performance
| Coin | Dec 31 | Now | 24h % | 7d % | YTD % | Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $93,429.30 | $91,479.83 | 1.81% | 5.00% | -2.09% | $1,825.43B |
| ETH | $3,332.53 | $3,019.46 | -0.26% | 6.52% | -9.39% | $364.44B |
| XRP | $2.08 | $2.21 | -1.27% | 10.48% | 6.14% | $133.19B |
| USDT | $1.00 | $1.00 | 0.01% | 0.11% | 0.00% | $184.56B |
| BNB | $700.99 | $892.90 | 0.60% | 1.73% | 27.38% | $122.98B |
| SOL | $189.26 | $141.65 | 0.61% | 6.99% | -25.15% | $79.24B |
| DOGE | $0.32 | $0.15 | -1.58% | 3.47% | -51.46% | $23.29B |
| ADA | $0.84 | $0.43 | 0.43% | -0.12% | -48.51% | $15.52B |
| TRX | $0.25 | $0.28 | 1.52% | -0.12% | 11.90% | $26.49B |
| HYPE | $35.69 | $35.53 | 0.64% | -6.89% | -0.44% | $11.96B |
- BTC extends its rebound but still trades below December’s start, while ETH and SOL show stronger 7‑day momentum off the lows.
- XRP cools slightly after double‑digit weekly gains, with ETF‑driven demand helping keep YTD performance in the green.
- BNB and TRX quietly post solid positive YTD returns, while DOGE and ADA remain heavy laggards versus their December marks.
💰 Funding & Institutional Moves
XRP’s new U.S. ETFs—Franklin Templeton’s XRPZ and Grayscale’s GXRP—underscore how major issuers are expanding regulated access beyond BTC and ETH, with combined first‑day flows around $160M and total XRP ETF assets now north of $600M. This sits alongside continued growth in spot BTC and ETH products, signaling that institutions increasingly want targeted baskets across the majors rather than a single‑asset sleeve.
Signal: ETF shelves are filling across more assets, and issuers are competing on structure, fees and product design as much as on underlying exposure.
🛠️ Tech, Protocol & Ecosystem
Derivatives desks highlight increased call spread activity tied to BTC’s $100K–$118K range and higher‑beta altcoins, while Hash Ribbon and miner‑capitulation analytics fuel discussion around whether miners will lean further into AI and high‑performance computing. At the same time, protocols tied to cross‑chain liquidity, rollup infrastructure and DeFi risk‑management continue to announce roadmap upgrades into year‑end.
Builder signal: Infra, analytics, and structured‑product rails form the backbone of the next phase of institutional and developer adoption.
⚖️ Regulation & Policy Watch
Policy discussions in the U.S. remain focused on the intersection of rate cuts, ETF approvals and stablecoin rules, while European and Asian regulators work on aligning tokenized‑asset and stablecoin frameworks. Recent speeches and consultation papers emphasize disclosures, reserve quality, and operational resilience, but leave open questions on token classification and cross‑border enforcement.
Signal: Global regulators are tightening standards around plumbing and risk while innovation and jurisdictional competition continue in parallel.
🎟️ Events, Community & Builders
- Thanksgiving‑week live sessions focus on BTC macro narratives, Fed policy and on‑chain bottom signals, with Q&A on miner strategy and ETF flows.
- Developer AMAs dig into cross‑chain liquidity, modular stacks and rollup security as teams finalize 2026 roadmaps across major L1s and L2s.
- Institutional webinars spotlight ETF usage, treasury allocation frameworks and internal controls for digital‑asset programs in a changing regulatory landscape.
Builder signal: Education, infra and risk frameworks sit at the center of how teams are planning capital and product deployments for next year.
⚡ Risk & Tactical Lens
BTC’s rebound is supported by rate‑cut optimism and improving on‑chain data, but thin holiday liquidity, event‑risk around the December Fed meeting and elevated positioning keep two‑way volatility firmly in play.
Pro tip: Track Fed cut odds, ETF flows, and on‑chain accumulation zones as leading indicators—not investment advice, strictly educational context.
DISCLAIMER
This newsletter is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice, solicitation, or endorsement. H2cryptO does not warrant data accuracy or completeness. Crypto assets are highly volatile; always consult professional advisors, use caution, and comply with local laws before strategic, financial, or investment decisions.
